Housing Market

Line chart image showing Housing Market Hotness Index Dec 07, 2025

Housing Market Hotness Index Dec 07, 2025

The U.S. Housing Market Hotness Index ticked up to 90.11 in early December, but the market remains sluggish as high mortgage rates, economic uncertainty, and affordability pressures keep both buyers and sellers on the sidelines. While pockets of the Northeast and Midwest remain competitive, Florida and Texas continue to see some of the weakest housing activity in the nation.

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Fed Cuts Rate But Signals No Guarantee of More Easing

The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate to its lowest level in three years in an effort to support a cooling labor market. While inflation remains contained, policymakers are divided on whether another rate cut in December is warranted. Mortgage rates have already fallen to a one-year low, but further declines will depend on upcoming economic data and inflation trends.

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Image shows the word FED, the federal reserve bank, the central bank of the US

Inflation and Labor Market Trends: What They Mean for Housing in 2025

The latest U.S. inflation and labor market data reveal a challenging balance for the Federal Reserve. While CPI held steady at 2.7% in July, core inflation accelerated to 3.1%, and producer prices jumped, limiting monetary flexibility. At the same time, weak job gains, rising unemployment, and stalled labor participation are pressuring policymakers toward rate cuts, with major implications for mortgage rates and housing affordability through late 2025.

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